Thursday, September 28, 2006

Muhammad's sword - By Uri Avner

Muhammad's sword

Pope Benedict XVI in the service of George W. Bush

By Uri Avner

09/24/06 "Information Clearing House" -- -- Since the days when Roman emperors threw Christians to the lions, the relations between the emperors and the heads of the church have undergone many changes.

Constantine the Great, who became emperor in the year 306 - exactly 1700 years ago - encouraged the practice of Christianity in the empire, which included Palestine. Centuries later, the church split into an Eastern (Orthodox) and a Western (Catholic) part. In the West, the Bishop of Rome, who acquired the title of Pope, demanded that the emperor accept his superiority.

The struggle between the emperors and the popes played a central role in European history and divided the peoples. It knew ups and downs. Some emperors dismissed or expelled a pope, some popes dismissed or excommunicated an emperor. One of the emperors, Henry IV, "walked to Canossa", standing for three days barefoot in the snow in front of the Pope's castle, until the Pope deigned to annul his excommunication.

But there were times when emperors and popes lived in peace with each other. We are witnessing such a period today. Between the present Pope, Benedict XVI, and the present emperor, George Bush
II, there exists a wonderful harmony. Last week's speech by the Pope, which aroused a worldwide storm, went well with Bush's crusade against "Islamofascism", in the context of the "clash of civilizations".

In his lecture at a German university, the 265th Pope described what he sees as a huge difference between Christianity and Islam: while Christianity is based on reason, Islam denies it. While Christians see the logic of God's actions, Muslims deny that there is any such logic in the actions of Allah.

As a Jewish atheist, I do not intend to enter the fray of this debate. It is much beyond my humble abilities to understand the logic of the Pope. But I cannot overlook one passage, which concerns me too, as an Israeli living near the fault-line of this "war of civilizations".

In order to prove the lack of reason in Islam, the Pope asserts that the Prophet Muhammad ordered his followers to spread their religion by the sword. According to the Pope, that is
unreasonable, because faith is born of the soul, not of the body. How can the sword influence the soul?

To support his case, the Pope quoted - of all people - a Byzantine emperor, who belonged, of course, to the competing Eastern Church. At the end of the 14th century, Emperor Manuel II Palaeologus told of a debate he had - or so he said (its occurrence is in doubt) - with an unnamed Persian Muslim scholar. In the heat of the argument, the emperor (according to himself) flung the following words at his adversary:


Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached.


These words give rise to three questions: (a) Why did the Emperor say them? (b) Are they true? (c) Why did the present Pope quote them?

When Manuel II wrote his treatise, he was the head of a dying empire. He assumed power in 1391, when only a few provinces of
the once illustrious empire remained. These, too, were already under Turkish threat.

At that point in time, the Ottoman Turks had reached the banks of the Danube. They had conquered Bulgaria and the north of Greece, and had twice defeated relieving armies sent by Europe to save the Eastern Empire. On 29 May 1453, only a few years after Manuel's death, his capital, Constantinople (the present Istanbul), fell to the Turks, putting an end to the empire that had lasted for more than a thousand years.

During his reign, Manuel made the rounds of the capitals of Europe in an attempt to drum up support. He promised to reunite the church. There is no doubt that he wrote his religious treatise in order to
incite the Christian countries against the Turks and convince them to start a new crusade. The aim was practical, theology was serving politics.

In this sense, the quote serves exactly the requirements of the present Emperor, George Bush II. He, too, wants to unite the Christian world against the mainly Muslim "Axis of Evil". Moreover, the Turks are again knocking on the doors of Europe, this time peacefully. It is well known that the Pope supports the forces that object to the entry of Turkey into the European Union.

Is there any truth in Manuel's argument?

The pope himself threw in a word of caution. As a serious and renowned theologian, he could not afford to falsify written texts. Therefore, he admitted that the Qur'an specifically forbade the spreading of the faith by force. He quoted the second Sura, Verse 256 (strangely fallible,
for a pope, he meant Verse 257) which says: "There must be no coercion in matters of faith."

How can one ignore such an unequivocal statement? The Pope simply argues that this commandment was laid down by the Prophet when he was at the beginning of his career, still weak and powerless, but that later on he ordered the use of the sword in the service of the faith. Such an order does not exist in the Qur'an. True, Muhammad called for the use of the sword in his war against opposing tribes - Christian, Jewish and others - in Arabia, when he was building his state. But that was a political act, not a religious one; basically a fight for territory, not for the spreading of the faith.

Jesus said: "You will recognize them by their fruits." The treatment of other religions by Islam must be judged by a simple test: how did the Muslim rulers behave for more than a thousand years, when they had the power to "spread the faith by the
sword"?

Well, they just did not.

For many centuries, the Muslims ruled Greece. Did the Greeks become Muslims? Did anyone even try to Islamize them? On the contrary, Christian Greeks held the highest positions in the Ottoman administration. The Bulgarians, Serbs, Romanians, Hungarians and other European nations lived at one time or another under Ottoman rule and clung to their Christian faith. Nobody compelled them to become Muslims and all of them remained devoutly Christian.

True, the Albanians did convert to Islam, and so did the Bosniaks. But nobody argues that they did this under duress. They adopted Islam in order to become favourites of the government and enjoy the fruits.

In 1099, the Crusaders conquered Jerusalem and massacred its Muslim and Jewish inhabitants indiscriminately, in the name of
the gentle Jesus. At that time, 400 years into the occupation of Palestine by the Muslims, Christians were still the majority in the country. Throughout this long period, no effort was made to impose Islam on them. Only after the expulsion of the Crusaders from the country, did the majority of the inhabitants start to adopt the Arabic language and the Muslim faith - and they were the forefathers of most of today's Palestinians.

There no evidence whatsoever of any attempt to impose Islam on the Jews. As is well known, under Muslim rule the Jews of Spain enjoyed a bloom the like of which the Jews did not enjoy anywhere else until almost our time. Poets like Yehuda Halevy wrote in Arabic, as did the great Maimonides. In Muslim Spain, Jews were ministers, poets, scientists. In Muslim Toledo, Christian, Jewish and Muslim scholars worked together and translated the ancient Greek philosophical and scientific
texts. That was, indeed, the Golden Age. How would this have been possible, had the Prophet decreed the "spreading of the faith by the sword"?

What happened afterwards is even more telling. When the Catholics reconquered Spain from the Muslims, they instituted a reign of religious terror. The Jews and the Muslims were presented with a cruel choice: to become Christians, to be massacred or to leave. And where did the hundreds of thousand of Jews, who refused to abandon their faith, escape? Almost all of them were received with open arms in the Muslim countries. The Sephardi ("Spanish") Jews settled all over the Muslim world, from Morocco in the west to Iraq in the east, from Bulgaria (then part of the Ottoman Empire) in the north to
Sudan in the south. Nowhere were they persecuted. They knew nothing like the tortures of the Inquisition, the flames of the auto-da-fe, the pogroms, the terrible mass-expulsions that took place in almost all Christian countries, up to the Holocaust.

Why? Because Islam expressly prohibited any persecution of the "peoples of the book". In Islamic society, a special place was reserved for Jews and Christians. They did not enjoy completely equal rights, but almost. They had to pay a special poll tax, but were exempted from military service - a trade-off that was quite welcome to many Jews. It has been said that Muslim rulers frowned upon any attempt to convert Jews to Islam even by gentle persuasion - because it entailed the loss of taxes.

Every honest Jew who knows the history of his people cannot but feel a deep sense of gratitude to Islam, which has protected the Jews for fifty
generations, while the Christian world persecuted the Jews and tried many times "by the sword" to get them to abandon their faith.

The story about "spreading the faith by the sword" is an evil legend, one of the myths that grew up in Europe during the great wars against the Muslims - the reconquista of Spain by the Christians, the Crusades and the repulsion of the Turks, who almost conquered Vienna. I suspect that the German Pope, too, honestly believes in these fables. That means that the leader of the Catholic world, who is a Christian theologian in his own right, did not make the effort to study the history of other religions.

Why did he utter these words in public? And why now?

There is no escape from viewing them against the background of the new Crusade of Bush and his evangelist supporters, with his slogans of "Islamofascism" and
the "global war on terror" - when "terrorism" has become a synonym for Muslims. For Bush's handlers, this is a cynical attempt to justify the domination of the world's oil resources. Not for the first time in history, a religious robe is spread to cover the nakedness of economic interests; not for the first time, a robbers' expedition becomes a Crusade.

The speech of the Pope blends into this effort. Who can foretell the dire consequences?

Uri Avnery is an Israeli author and activist. He is the head of the Israeli peace movement, "Gush Shalom". http://zope.gush-shalom.org/home/en

Monday, September 25, 2006

Localism


Here's a beautiful T-Shirt design made by young UAE entrepreneurs. I will be ordering some for myself, so if you're interested you may forward your order to this email address: localism@gmail.com .

(Localism, Winner of the Sheikh Mohammed Bin Rashed Young Entrepreneurship Award for Most Profitable Business Venture 2006 - TEL: +971-50-2277162).

Each T-Shirt costs AED 50, and they also have a limited edition women's collection with crystals of different designs.You can place an order by sending them an email with your required quantity.

Freej!


Watch Freej every day on Sama Dubai at 18:50 and look out for the episode called "The wedding of all weddings" (عرس الأعراس) the voice over for Daloo3at Dubai is done by none other than me!

here's a picture

A Blessed Ramadan

 
هون الله غربتكم
وأعادكم إلى أوطانكم
ومن الفتن والبلاء حفظكم
ورمضان القادم في أرض الرافدين صيامنا وصيامكم إنشاء الله
 
May God Almighty shower you & yours with his gracious blessings during this holy month of Ramadan. May your prayers be heard, your pleadings accepted, & your devotedness acknowledged.
 

Wednesday, September 06, 2006

Shalash's Writings: I am Iraqi!!!!!!!

يقوم موقع كتابات بحملة من اجل تعزيز روح المواطنة والأنتماء للعراق الجريح و القفز فوق الأنتمائات الطائفية و الأثنية المريضة التي تنخر جسد العراق.....و قد ساهم "شلش" بهذه الحملة بمقالة رائعة مضحكة مبكيةاعتقد انها تعبر عما يعتمر في قلوبنا جميعا...ارجو ان تنشروا هذه المقالة لكل اخواننا واخواتنا واصدقائنا في الداخل وفي المهجر...و ارجوا ان لا ننسى ابدا اننا عراقيون رغم المرارات و الأحزان والأوجاع و المليشيات والموت اليومي الذي اصبح فيه سعر الأنسان العراقي ارخص من ذبابة:
 
آنـــــــــي عــــــــراقي
 
كتابات - شلش العراقي
 
آني عراقي..... أي والله آني عراقي ... وداعتكم يا أخوان آني عراقي.. مو  لأن عندي شهادة جنسية عراقية .. ولا بسبب من كوني من أبوين عراقيين بالولادة  .. لا .. آني عراقي لأن آني عراقي..... من أنام ومن اكعد ومن أكوم ومن آكل ومن اشرب ومن امشي ومن اصفن ومن أبجي ومن اضحك آني عراقي ...وأي واحد يشوفني ويشوف الألم والحزن والدمعة النايمة بعيني رأسا يكول هذاعراقي .. انظر اليَّ عزيزي القارئ ... شوفني شلون أدخن واسمع الحسرات والآهات الصاعدة من صدري ، شوف عيوني زين .. تعال اتقرب وباوع علي .. دتشوف قهر السنوات القاسية  وتعب الايام المرة ؟! .. بشرفك اكو بي شي مو عراقي ...؟!
آني عراقي يعني اني مريض ... مريض بكل شي اسمه عراقي .احب الكردي العراقي وأموت على التركماني العراقي وإذا يمرض المندائي العراقي آني من يمي أصخن واذا المسيحي كال الحكولي اركض ما اشوف طريقي  ... وإذا واحد يسألني شلش انت سني لو شيعي والله أحس كاعد يشتمني .. شنو يشتمني أحس كاعد يبوك ملامحي من وجهي واشعر بالاهانة .. وحتى نوبات بعض الأخوة القراء ما اعرف ليش يسألوني : شلش بروح أمك انت من الجماعة لو من عدنا ؟ لكم والله آني عراقي .. ليش تخلوني  اصيح واطلع من طوري .. يعني لازم أصير طائفي .. لا .. لو تموتون ما اكلكم غير اني عراقي وما أصير غير عراقي ..
اني عراقي من الانبار .. صدكوني اني  من الانبار ، بس ما دخلت أبيتنا مجاهدين تكفيريين ينتظرون سراهم حتى ينتحرون  وسط حجياتنا وأطفالنا .. لا اني ما أسويها .. اني عراقي  من الانبار بس مو بحجة المقاومة افجر الأسواق والمطاعم والكراجات والمساطر .. اني عراقي من الانبار بس ما اكطع الطريق على الناس وأكول السنة يبقون والشيعة ينزلون .. اني عراقي من ديالى  صدكوني اني من ديالى ،  بس ما اكطع روؤس ابناء شعبي وأحطها بصناديق الموز .. اني عراقي من ديالى ، بس ما أوجه الهاونات على الجوامع والحسينيات .. اني عراقي من ديالى بس ما اخلي غريب يدخل مدينتي ويقتل أهلي .. اني عراقي من صلاح الدين ، نعم اني من تكريت وسامرا وبيجي  بس اني  ما افجر محطات الكهرباء وأنابيب النفط .. اني عراقي من اربيل ، بس بغداد العزيزة تبقى عاصمتي وعلم العراق يرفرف على بيتي وما أفكر بنفسي وبس .. اني عراقي من مدينة الثورة بس ما أروح أشكل عصابات واختطف الناس واقتلهم لأسباب طائفية حقيرة .. مو صحيح حجي محمد ، مو صحيح ابو مريم ..اني عراقي من الشعلة بس ما اهجم على الغزالية واقتل الناس بدون سبب .. موصحيح  سيد شناوة ، والله عيب على شرفك سيد شناوة .. اني عراقي من الدورة بس ما البس نص دشداشة و اهجر الناس للرصافة لان ذولة مومن طائفتي .. اني عراقي من البصرة ولو يجي ابو كسرى ورستم وبهشتي وبلشتي واصفهاني  ويريد يدخل العشار بدون استئذان من اهل العشار والله اكسر رجله ورجل الخلّفوه .. اني عراقي من العمارة اني عراقي من الناصرية اني عراقي من الكوت من الديوانية من السماوة من الحلة اني عراقي وانت بكيفك من يا محافظة تريدني اني حاضر ..
اني عراقي واشعر بالعار لان أهلي متهجولين بالأردن وسوريا  ومصر وباقي دول الجوار ..اشعر بالعار لان بناتنا وشبابنا يكسرون الخاطر بالحدود.. بناتنا الحلوات غريبات بالعواصم ويتلفتن منا ومنا .. اني عراقي واشعر بالعار لان كفاءاتنا العلمية تتوسل على وظيفة عند أتفه الناس  .. اني عراقي واشعر بالعار لان  حكومتي أشهر حكومة بالفساد الإداري على مستوى العالم .. اني عراقي واشعر بالعار لان مجلس النواب العراقي يتكون من وجوه أمية ومتخلفة وطائفية وعنصرية ومتخمة بالحقد على بعضها ...اني عراقي واشعر بالعار من أراجع وزارة وأريد أتعين بوطني يكولولي روح جيب تأييد من حزب البلوة لو حزب فضيلة ام اللبن لو من المجلس الأعمى.. اني عراقي واشعر بالعار لان أمريكا محتلتني ودباباتها رايحة و جاية بشارع فلسطين وساحة بيروت والباب الشرجي وشارع السعدون وبكل مكان .. اني عراقي واشعر بالعار لان مصير بلدي بأيد آيات الله  بطهران .. اشعر بالعار والخجل  من شهداء العراق الذين سقطوا عند حدود العراق والتي أضحت بعدهم سائبة لكلاب التجسس والجريمة وتجار المخدرات ..
اني عراقي ولأنني أريد إن أبقى عراقي وأموت وأني عراقي سأشارك في الحملة الشعبية المستقلة ليوم الوحدة الوطنية " أنا عراقي " ليس فقط لأقول أنا عراقي بل سأتصرف منذ هذه اللحظة كعراقي .. بالمناسبة  موبس اني عراقي ، انت عزيزي القاريء هم عراقي ..ولان اني عراقي وانت عراقي خل نسمع نداء الشباب الشرفاء ونصرخ وياهم بصوت واحد " انا عراقي "
 
 

Tuesday, September 05, 2006

Blood borders; How a better Middle East would look

By Ralph Peters
International borders are never completely just. But the degree of injustice they inflict upon those whom frontiers force together or separate makes an enormous difference — often the difference between freedom and oppression, tolerance and atrocity, the rule of law and terrorism, or even peace and war.

The most arbitrary and distorted borders in the world are in Africa and the Middle East. Drawn by self-interested Europeans (who have had sufficient trouble defining their own frontiers), Africa's borders continue to provoke the deaths of millions of local inhabitants. But the unjust borders in the Middle East — to borrow from Churchill — generate more trouble than can be consumed locally.

While the Middle East has far more problems than dysfunctional borders alone — from cultural stagnation through scandalous inequality to deadly religious extremism — the greatest taboo in striving to understand the region's comprehensive failure isn't Islam but the awful-but-sacrosanct international boundaries worshipped by our own diplomats.

Of course, no adjustment of borders, however draconian, could make every minority in the Middle East happy. In some instances, ethnic and religious groups live intermingled and have intermarried. Elsewhere, reunions based on blood or belief might not prove quite as joyous as their current proponents expect. The boundaries projected in the maps accompanying this article redress the wrongs suffered by the most significant "cheated" population groups, such as the Kurds, Baluch and Arab Shia, but still fail to account adequately for Middle Eastern Christians, Bahais, Ismailis, Naqshbandis and many another numerically lesser minorities. And one haunting wrong can never be redressed with a reward of territory: the genocide perpetrated against the Armenians by the dying Ottoman Empire.
Yet, for all the injustices the borders re-imagined here leave unaddressed, without such major boundary revisions, we shall never see a more peaceful Middle East.

Even those who abhor the topic of altering borders would be well-served to engage in an exercise that attempts to conceive a fairer, if still imperfect, amendment of national boundaries between the Bosporus and the Indus. Accepting that international statecraft has never developed effective tools — short of war — for readjusting faulty borders, a mental effort to grasp the Middle East's "organic" frontiers nonetheless helps us understand the extent of the difficulties we face and will continue to face. We are dealing with colossal, man-made deformities that will not stop generating hatred and violence until they are corrected.

As for those who refuse to "think the unthinkable," declaring that boundaries must not change and that's that, it pays to remember that boundaries have never stopped changing through the centuries. Borders have never been static, and many frontiers, from Congo through Kosovo to the Caucasus, are changing even now (as ambassadors and special representatives avert their eyes to study the shine on their wingtips).

Oh, and one other dirty little secret from 5,000 years of history: Ethnic cleansing works.

Begin with the border issue most sensitive to American readers: For Israel to have any hope of living in reasonable peace with its neighbors, it will have to return to its pre-1967 borders — with essential local adjustments for legitimate security concerns. But the issue of the territories surrounding Jerusalem, a city stained with thousands of years of blood, may prove intractable beyond our lifetimes. Where all parties have turned their god into a real-estate tycoon, literal turf battles have a tenacity unrivaled by mere greed for oil wealth or ethnic squabbles. So let us set aside this single overstudied issue and turn to those that are studiously ignored.

The most glaring injustice in the notoriously unjust lands between the Balkan Mountains and the Himalayas is the absence of an independent Kurdish state. There are between 27 million and 36 million Kurds living in contiguous regions in the Middle East (the figures are imprecise because no state has ever allowed an honest census). Greater than the population of present-day Iraq, even the lower figure makes the Kurds the world's largest ethnic group without a state of its own. Worse, Kurds have been oppressed by every government controlling the hills and mountains where they've lived since Xenophon's day.

The U.S. and its coalition partners missed a glorious chance to begin to correct this injustice after Baghdad's fall. A Frankenstein's monster of a state sewn together from ill-fitting parts, Iraq should have been divided into three smaller states immediately. We failed from cowardice and lack of vision, bullying Iraq's Kurds into supporting the new Iraqi government — which they do wistfully as a quid pro quo for our good will. But were a free plebiscite to be held, make no mistake: Nearly 100 percent of Iraq's Kurds would vote for independence.

As would the long-suffering Kurds of Turkey, who have endured decades of violent military oppression and a decades-long demotion to "mountain Turks" in an effort to eradicate their identity. While the Kurdish plight at Ankara's hands has eased somewhat over the past decade, the repression recently intensified again and the eastern fifth of Turkey should be viewed as occupied territory. As for the Kurds of Syria and Iran, they, too, would rush to join an independent Kurdistan if they could. The refusal by the world's legitimate democracies to champion Kurdish independence is a human-rights sin of omission far worse than the clumsy, minor sins of commission that routinely excite our media. And by the way: A Free Kurdistan, stretching from Diyarbakir through Tabriz, would be the most pro-Western state between Bulgaria and Japan.

A just alignment in the region would leave Iraq's three Sunni-majority provinces as a truncated state that might eventually choose to unify with a Syria that loses its littoral to a Mediterranean-oriented Greater Lebanon: Phoenecia reborn. The Shia south of old Iraq would form the basis of an Arab Shia State rimming much of the Persian Gulf. Jordan would retain its current territory, with some southward expansion at Saudi expense. For its part, the unnatural state of Saudi Arabia would suffer as great a dismantling as Pakistan.

A root cause of the broad stagnation in the Muslim world is the Saudi royal family's treatment of Mecca and Medina as their fiefdom. With Islam's holiest shrines under the police-state control of one of the world's most bigoted and oppressive regimes — a regime that commands vast, unearned oil wealth — the Saudis have been able to project their Wahhabi vision of a disciplinarian, intolerant faith far beyond their borders. The rise of the Saudis to wealth and, consequently, influence has been the worst thing to happen to the Muslim world as a whole since the time of the Prophet, and the worst thing to happen to Arabs since the Ottoman (if not the Mongol) conquest.

While non-Muslims could not effect a change in the control of Islam's holy cities, imagine how much healthier the Muslim world might become were Mecca and Medina ruled by a rotating council representative of the world's major Muslim schools and movements in an Islamic Sacred State — a sort of Muslim super-Vatican — where the future of a great faith might be debated rather than merely decreed. True justice — which we might not like — would also give Saudi Arabia's coastal oil fields to the Shia Arabs who populate that subregion, while a southeastern quadrant would go to Yemen. Confined to a rump Saudi Homelands Independent Territory around Riyadh, the House of Saud would be capable of far less mischief toward Islam and the world.

Iran, a state with madcap boundaries, would lose a great deal of territory to Unified Azerbaijan, Free Kurdistan, the Arab Shia State and Free Baluchistan, but would gain the provinces around Herat in today's Afghanistan — a region with a historical and linguistic affinity for Persia. Iran would, in effect, become an ethnic Persian state again, with the most difficult question being whether or not it should keep the port of Bandar Abbas or surrender it to the Arab Shia State.

What Afghanistan would lose to Persia in the west, it would gain in the east, as Pakistan's Northwest Frontier tribes would be reunited with their Afghan brethren (the point of this exercise is not to draw maps as we would like them but as local populations would prefer them). Pakistan, another unnatural state, would also lose its Baluch territory to Free Baluchistan. The remaining "natural" Pakistan would lie entirely east of the Indus, except for a westward spur near Karachi.

The city-states of the United Arab Emirates would have a mixed fate — as they probably will in reality. Some might be incorporated in the Arab Shia State ringing much of the Persian Gulf (a state more likely to evolve as a counterbalance to, rather than an ally of, Persian Iran). Since all puritanical cultures are hypocritical, Dubai, of necessity, would be allowed to retain its playground status for rich debauchees. Kuwait would remain within its current borders, as would Oman.

In each case, this hypothetical redrawing of boundaries reflects ethnic affinities and religious communalism — in some cases, both. Of course, if we could wave a magic wand and amend the borders under discussion, we would certainly prefer to do so selectively. Yet, studying the revised map, in contrast to the map illustrating today's boundaries, offers some sense of the great wrongs borders drawn by Frenchmen and Englishmen in the 20th century did to a region struggling to emerge from the humiliations and defeats of the 19th century.

Correcting borders to reflect the will of the people may be impossible. For now. But given time — and the inevitable attendant bloodshed — new and natural borders will emerge. Babylon has fallen more than once.

Meanwhile, our men and women in uniform will continue to fight for security from terrorism, for the prospect of democracy and for access to oil supplies in a region that is destined to fight itself. The current human divisions and forced unions between Ankara and Karachi, taken together with the region's self-inflicted woes, form as perfect a breeding ground for religious extremism, a culture of blame and the recruitment of terrorists as anyone could design. Where men and women look ruefully at their borders, they look enthusiastically for enemies.

From the world's oversupply of terrorists to its paucity of energy supplies, the current deformations of the Middle East promise a worsening, not an improving, situation. In a region where only the worst aspects of nationalism ever took hold and where the most debased aspects of religion threaten to dominate a disappointed faith, the U.S., its allies and, above all, our armed forces can look for crises without end. While Iraq may provide a counterexample of hope — if we do not quit its soil prematurely — the rest of this vast region offers worsening problems on almost every front.

If the borders of the greater Middle East cannot be amended to reflect the natural ties of blood and faith, we may take it as an article of faith that a portion of the bloodshed in the region will continue to be our own.

• • •

WHO WINS, WHO LOSES

Winners —

Afghanistan

Arab Shia State

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Free Baluchistan

Free Kurdistan

Iran

Islamic Sacred State

Jordan

Lebanon

Yemen



Losers —

Afghanistan

Iran

Iraq

Israel

Kuwait

Pakistan

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

Syria

Turkey

United Arab Emirates

West Bank